Celje 2-2 Aluminij — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.27
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
20%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.92
4-5 Goals
25%
2.83
6+ Goals
12%
7.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
75%
-18.2pp
23%
Draw
16%
+7.0pp
20%
Away Win
9%
+11.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.7pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celje EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminij EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.91/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/2.41
-5% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -21%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
422 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celje
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Aluminij
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2023 Aluminij Aluminij 1-3 HT 0-2 Celje Celje SLVN
27.09.2023 Celje Celje 1-3 HT 1-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
23.07.2023 Aluminij Aluminij 2-2 HT 1-0 Celje Celje SLVN
25.04.2022 Aluminij Aluminij 0-6 HT 0-4 Celje Celje SLVN
25.02.2022 Celje Celje 3-2 HT 1-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
23.10.2021 Aluminij Aluminij 0-1 HT 0-1 Celje Celje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celje
2-2
AWAY Aluminij
69% Ball Possession 31%
34 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 3
15 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Celje vs Aluminij
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje and Aluminij couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

This one beat our numbers. Celje carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Celje had 69% of the ball to Aluminij's 31%, shots finished 34-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Celje and 1.33 for Aluminij.

What was the final score of Celje vs Aluminij?

Celje 2-2 Aluminij in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celje vs Aluminij?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Celje 57%, draw 23%, Aluminij 20%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Celje), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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SLVN More Slovenia - 1st Division
30 Mar 2024
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