Olimpija Ljubljana 3-2 Koper — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.22
6+ Goals
14%
11.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-8.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.0pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Koper EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
1.76/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/2.12
-7% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Koper
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.03.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-4 HT 2-2 Koper Koper SLVNK
10.12.2023 Koper Koper 2-4 HT 0-3 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
28.09.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 HT 0-1 Koper Koper SLVN
22.07.2023 Koper Koper 2-1 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
30.04.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 3-2 HT 2-1 Koper Koper SLVN
25.02.2023 Koper Koper 0-1 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
3-2
AWAY Koper
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Olimpija Ljubljana vs Koper
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana nicked a narrow win over Koper 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Olimpija Ljubljana as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Olimpija Ljubljana had 51% of the ball to Koper's 49%, shots finished 19-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olimpija Ljubljana had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Olimpija Ljubljana and 1.83 for Koper.

What was the final score of Olimpija Ljubljana vs Koper?

Olimpija Ljubljana 3-2 Koper in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Koper?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Olimpija Ljubljana 51%, draw 25%, Koper 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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