Olimpija Ljubljana 2-4 Koper — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - Cup, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.76
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
38%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
23%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-10.6pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.3pp
38%
Away Win
23%
+14.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.8pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Koper EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
318 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Koper
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.12.2023 Koper Koper 2-4 HT 0-3 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
28.09.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 HT 0-1 Koper Koper SLVN
22.07.2023 Koper Koper 2-1 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
30.04.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 3-2 HT 2-1 Koper Koper SLVN
25.02.2023 Koper Koper 0-1 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
30.10.2022 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-1 HT 2-1 Koper Koper SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
2-4
AWAY Koper
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Olimpija Ljubljana vs Koper
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koper saw off Olimpija Ljubljana 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 20% / 38% — and on the day Koper made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Olimpija Ljubljana had 43% of the ball to Koper's 57%, shots finished 16-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olimpija Ljubljana had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Olimpija Ljubljana and 1.33 for Koper.

What was the final score of Olimpija Ljubljana vs Koper?

Olimpija Ljubljana 2-4 Koper in the Slovenia - Cup on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Koper?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Olimpija Ljubljana 42%, draw 20%, Koper 38%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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