Nafta 1-2 Rogaska — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - Cup, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
36%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.3pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.2pp
36%
Away Win
42%
-6.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.7pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nafta EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Rogaska EU Bookmakers 46%
+53% / +53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+36% / +134% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nafta
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Rogaska
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.03.2023 Nafta Nafta 0-1 HT 0-0 Rogaska Rogaska SLVN2
26.08.2022 Rogaska Rogaska 3-3 HT 2-1 Nafta Nafta SLVN2
08.05.2022 Nafta Nafta 2-3 HT 0-3 Rogaska Rogaska SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nafta
1-2
AWAY Rogaska
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nafta vs Rogaska
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rogaska nicked a narrow win over Nafta 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 32% / 36%) promised a tight game; Rogaska found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nafta had 46% of the ball to Rogaska's 54%, shots finished 7-24.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rogaska led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nafta and 2.33 for Rogaska.

What was the final score of Nafta vs Rogaska?

Nafta 1-2 Rogaska in the Slovenia - Cup on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nafta vs Rogaska?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rogaska win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Nafta 33%, draw 32%, Rogaska 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rogaska) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rogaska) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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