Grebbestads IF 2-2 Ahlafors IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-1.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.5pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grebbestads IF EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ahlafors IF EU Bookmakers 39%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.71/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.67
-6% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grebbestads IF
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Ahlafors IF
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
03.09.2022 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 2-1 HT 1-1 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
08.09.2021 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 3-0 HT 1-0 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF İSÇ4
07.07.2021 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 0-1 HT 0-0 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
12.09.2020 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 4-1 HT 2-1 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Grebbestads IF vs Ahlafors IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grebbestads IF and Ahlafors IF shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Grebbestads IF at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Grebbestads IF and 1.50 for Ahlafors IF.

What was the final score of Grebbestads IF vs Ahlafors IF?

Grebbestads IF 2-2 Ahlafors IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grebbestads IF vs Ahlafors IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grebbestads IF win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Grebbestads IF 43%, draw 23%, Ahlafors IF 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Grebbestads IF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grebbestads IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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