Vanersborgs FK 1-3 Kongahalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.38
Over 2.5
64%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-4.6pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.1pp
36%
Under 2.5
38%
-2.5pp
64%
Over 2.5
62%
+2.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-4.3pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanersborgs FK EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Kongahalla EU Bookmakers 32%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-35% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
369 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Vanersborgs FK vs Kongahalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kongahalla beat Vanersborgs FK 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Vanersborgs FK at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Vanersborgs FK vs Kongahalla?

Vanersborgs FK 1-3 Kongahalla in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanersborgs FK vs Kongahalla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vanersborgs FK win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vanersborgs FK 43%, draw 25%, Kongahalla 32%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vanersborgs FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vanersborgs FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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