Amorebieta 3-1 Racing Ferrol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
29%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.08
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
19%
6.17
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.28
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
4%
14.25
X/1
14%
5.39
X/2
9%
5.29
X/X
19%
3.28
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
11%
4.18
2/X
8%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+5.6pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.4pp
29%
Away Win
34%
-5.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.1pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amorebieta EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
0.90/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/2.43
-1% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +82% / +12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
23.1 Crosses 9.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amorebieta
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Racing Ferrol
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.10 xG 0.75
46% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
440 Passes 372
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
7 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.10.2023 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-0 HT 1-0 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS2
10.06.2023 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 2-0 HT 0-0 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amorebieta
3-1
AWAY Racing Ferrol
1.37 xG 0.61
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
204 Passes 408
69% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Amorebieta vs Racing Ferrol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amorebieta beat Racing Ferrol 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; Amorebieta found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Amorebieta had 38% of the ball to Racing Ferrol's 62%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 1.37 to 0.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Racing Ferrol led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Amorebieta and 1.50 for Racing Ferrol.

What was the final score of Amorebieta vs Racing Ferrol?

Amorebieta 3-1 Racing Ferrol in the Spain - 2nd Division on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amorebieta vs Racing Ferrol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amorebieta win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Amorebieta 40%, draw 32%, Racing Ferrol 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amorebieta) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Amorebieta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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