Elche 0-2 Real Oviedo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 5 Apr 2024

Elche
0-2 HT 0-1
Real Oviedo
📅05/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Elche vs Real Oviedo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.9
No
60%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.68
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.39
6+ Goals
7%
22.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 35% vs market 31.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.79
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.55
X/1
14%
4.36
X/2
9%
7.45
X/X
12%
4.0
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
15%
5.96
2/X
7%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.4pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Elche v Real Oviedo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elche EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.48/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.17
-15% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
311 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
28.3 Crosses 18.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Elche vs Real Oviedo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elche
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Real Oviedo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.37 xG 1.29
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 Passes 317
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.12.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 3-2 HT 1-2 Elche Elche İS2
20.07.2020 Elche Elche 2-1 HT 1-1 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
15.09.2019 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-2 HT 0-1 Elche Elche İS2
09.02.2019 Elche Elche 1-2 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
23.09.2018 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-1 HT 1-1 Elche Elche İS2
10.06.2017 Elche Elche 0-2 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2

Elche 0-2 Real Oviedo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elche
0-2
AWAY Real Oviedo
1.00 xG 1.70
70% Ball Possession 30%
21 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
505 Passes 173
86% Pass Accuracy 68%
25 Box Touches 16
34 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Elche vs Real Oviedo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Oviedo saw off Elche 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Elche at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Elche had 70% of the ball to Real Oviedo's 30%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 1.00 to 1.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Oviedo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Elche and 1.50 for Real Oviedo.

What was the final score of Elche vs Real Oviedo?

Elche 0-2 Real Oviedo in the Spain - 2nd Division on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elche vs Real Oviedo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elche win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Elche 45%, draw 26%, Real Oviedo 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Elche) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elche) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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