Foggia Calcio 0-2 Casertana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.33
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
5.2
6+ Goals
7%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.3pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.1pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foggia Calcio EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Casertana EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +11%
1.47/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.99
+21% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foggia Calcio
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Casertana
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
04.12.2023 Casertana Casertana 2-1 HT 2-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
30.01.2021 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 1-0 HT 1-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
04.11.2020 Casertana Casertana 0-2 HT 0-1 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
30.11.2015 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 2-0 HT 0-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Foggia Calcio
0-2
AWAY Casertana
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Foggia Calcio vs Casertana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casertana beat Foggia Calcio 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Foggia Calcio at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Foggia Calcio had 44% of the ball to Casertana's 56%, shots finished 6-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Foggia Calcio had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Foggia Calcio and 0.50 for Casertana.

What was the final score of Foggia Calcio vs Casertana?

Foggia Calcio 0-2 Casertana in the Italy - Serie C on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foggia Calcio vs Casertana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Foggia Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Foggia Calcio 42%, draw 26%, Casertana 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Foggia Calcio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Foggia Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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