Sestri Levante 0-2 Pineto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 5 Apr 2024

Sestri Levante
0-2 HT 0-1
Pineto
📅05/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2023/2024

Sestri Levante vs Pineto Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
27%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.34
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.18
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
14%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+3.7pp
34%
Draw
32%
+1.9pp
27%
Away Win
32%
-5.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.3pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sestri Levante v Pineto — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sestri Levante EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Pineto EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.02/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.51
-13% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
264 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5

Sestri Levante vs Pineto Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sestri Levante
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Pineto
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
03.12.2023 Pineto Pineto 1-0 HT 0-0 Sestri Levante Sestri Levante İTC

Sestri Levante 0-2 Pineto — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sestri Levante
0-2
AWAY Pineto
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sestri Levante vs Pineto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pineto saw off Sestri Levante 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 34% / 27%) promised a tight game; Pineto found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sestri Levante had 57% of the ball to Pineto's 43%, shots finished 10-13.

What was the final score of Sestri Levante vs Pineto?

Sestri Levante 0-2 Pineto in the Italy - Serie C on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sestri Levante vs Pineto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sestri Levante win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sestri Levante 40%, draw 34%, Pineto 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sestri Levante) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sestri Levante) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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