Hansa Rostock 3-1 Wehen Wiesbaden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.46
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.45
6+ Goals
10%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 25% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.36
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
10%
5.28
X/2
12%
6.11
X/X
8%
4.55
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
19%
4.13
2/X
8%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.3pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.7pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.5pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hansa Rostock EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
1.54/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/3.44
-21% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -49%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
259 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
23.5 Crosses 16.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hansa Rostock
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.99 xG 1.54
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
299 Passes 368
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 1-0 HT 0-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
21.04.2021 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 1-1 HT 0-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
06.12.2020 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 2-1 HT 1-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL3
03.02.2019 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 2-0 HT 1-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL3
08.08.2018 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 3-2 HT 2-1 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
21.04.2018 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 2-0 HT 1-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hansa Rostock
3-1
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden
1.39 xG 0.89
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
331 Passes 269
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hansa Rostock vs Wehen Wiesbaden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hansa Rostock got the better of Wehen Wiesbaden 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; Hansa Rostock found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Hansa Rostock had 55% of the ball to Wehen Wiesbaden's 45%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.39 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wehen Wiesbaden led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hansa Rostock and 1.33 for Wehen Wiesbaden.

What was the final score of Hansa Rostock vs Wehen Wiesbaden?

Hansa Rostock 3-1 Wehen Wiesbaden in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hansa Rostock vs Wehen Wiesbaden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hansa Rostock win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hansa Rostock 40%, draw 23%, Wehen Wiesbaden 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hansa Rostock), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hansa Rostock) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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