BFC Dynamo 1-0 Hertha Berlin II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
20%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+0.8pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.3pp
20%
Away Win
24%
-4.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-1.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.5pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFC Dynamo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hertha Berlin II EU Bookmakers 28%
-10% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -3%
1.88/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.88
-4% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFC Dynamo
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Hertha Berlin II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2023 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 1-2 HT 0-1 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
03.03.2023 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 1-3 HT 0-2 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
16.09.2022 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 0-0 HT 0-0 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
04.03.2022 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 1-0 HT 1-0 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
31.08.2021 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 2-3 HT 0-1 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
23.08.2020 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 1-2 HT 1-1 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BFC Dynamo
1-0
AWAY Hertha Berlin II
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH BFC Dynamo vs Hertha Berlin II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BFC Dynamo squeezed past Hertha Berlin II 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had BFC Dynamo as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, BFC Dynamo had 42% of the ball to Hertha Berlin II's 58%, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFC Dynamo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for BFC Dynamo and 1.00 for Hertha Berlin II.

What was the final score of BFC Dynamo vs Hertha Berlin II?

BFC Dynamo 1-0 Hertha Berlin II in the Germany - Regional League on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFC Dynamo vs Hertha Berlin II?

Before kick-off our model rated a BFC Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split BFC Dynamo 54%, draw 26%, Hertha Berlin II 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BFC Dynamo) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (BFC Dynamo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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