Illertissen 1-1 Bayern München II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 5 Apr 2024

Illertissen
1-1 HT 0-1
Bayern München II
📅05/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2023/2024

Illertissen vs Bayern München II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
2.1
Over 2.5
40%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.56
No
56%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
44%
+16.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
56%
-16.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
60%
-16.3pp
56%
BTTS No
40%
+16.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Illertissen v Bayern München II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Illertissen EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München II EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.99/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.35
+17% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 15.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Illertissen vs Bayern München II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Illertissen
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Bayern München II
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.04 xG 2.21
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
230 Passes 412
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.09.2023 Bayern München II Bayern München II 3-2 HT 3-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
18.03.2023 Illertissen Illertissen 0-0 HT 0-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
26.08.2022 Bayern München II Bayern München II 2-2 HT 1-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
03.12.2021 Bayern München II Bayern München II 2-0 HT 2-0 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
07.08.2021 Illertissen Illertissen 1-1 HT 0-1 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
06.11.2015 Bayern München II Bayern München II 0-0 HT 0-0 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Illertissen vs Bayern München II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Illertissen and Bayern München II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern München II led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Illertissen and 1.33 for Bayern München II.

What was the final score of Illertissen vs Bayern München II?

Illertissen 1-1 Bayern München II in the Germany - Regional League on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Illertissen vs Bayern München II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Illertissen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Illertissen 40%, draw 26%, Bayern München II 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Illertissen), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Illertissen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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