Araz Nahçıvan 1-2 Kapaz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 5 Apr 2024

Araz Nahçıvan
1-2 HT 1-0
Kapaz
📅05/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2023/2024

Araz Nahçıvan vs Kapaz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.8pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.0pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Araz Nahçıvan v Kapaz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapaz EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.00/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.19
-20% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
275 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Araz Nahçıvan vs Kapaz Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Araz Nahçıvan
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Kapaz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
The Meetings
05.02.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 3-1 HT 2-1 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
10.11.2023 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 0-1 HT 0-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
03.09.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 1-2 HT 0-2 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
POST-MATCH Araz Nahçıvan vs Kapaz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kapaz squeezed past Araz Nahçıvan 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Araz Nahçıvan at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kapaz led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Araz Nahçıvan and 1.67 for Kapaz.

What was the final score of Araz Nahçıvan vs Kapaz?

Araz Nahçıvan 1-2 Kapaz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Araz Nahçıvan vs Kapaz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Araz Nahçıvan win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Araz Nahçıvan 44%, draw 23%, Kapaz 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Araz Nahçıvan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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