Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1-1 Vitebsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 5 Apr 2024

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
1-1 HT 1-1
Vitebsk
📅05/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Belarus - Premier League – 2024

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Vitebsk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.44
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
4.89
6+ Goals
6%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.8pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk v Vitebsk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitebsk EU Bookmakers 34%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +15%
0.47/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.26
-64% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1-1 Vitebsk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
1-1
AWAY Vitebsk
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Vitebsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk and Vitebsk couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk had 44% of the ball to Vitebsk's 56%, shots finished 10-15.

What was the final score of Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Vitebsk?

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1-1 Vitebsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Vitebsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 36%, draw 29%, Vitebsk 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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