Fasil Ketema 1-2 Dire Dawa Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.9pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fasil Ketema EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema EU Bookmakers 30%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +63% / +63%
2.00/2.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+61% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
278 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fasil Ketema
1-2
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fasil Ketema vs Dire Dawa Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dire Dawa Kenema squeezed past Fasil Ketema 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Dire Dawa Kenema found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fasil Ketema had 54% of the ball to Dire Dawa Kenema's 46%, shots finished 6-12.

What was the final score of Fasil Ketema vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Fasil Ketema 1-2 Dire Dawa Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fasil Ketema vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fasil Ketema win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fasil Ketema 39%, draw 29%, Dire Dawa Kenema 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fasil Ketema) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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