Ethiopia Bunna 3-2 Awassa Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopia Bunna EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Awassa Kenema EU Bookmakers 28%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.50/1.50
+88% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ethiopia Bunna
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Awassa Kenema
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
05.01.2024 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema 1-2 HT 0-1 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopia Bunna
3-2
AWAY Awassa Kenema
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Ethiopia Bunna vs Awassa Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Bunna squeezed past Awassa Kenema 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ethiopia Bunna as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ethiopia Bunna had 47% of the ball to Awassa Kenema's 53%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Ethiopia Bunna vs Awassa Kenema?

Ethiopia Bunna 3-2 Awassa Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopia Bunna vs Awassa Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopia Bunna win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Bunna 46%, draw 28%, Awassa Kenema 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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