Fath Casablanca 0-1 Maghreb Fes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Cup, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.95
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
60%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.62
Over 2.5
52%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.81
No
54%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.48
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.79
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
43%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
10%
+10.2pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.4pp
60%
Away Win
70%
-9.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
58%
-9.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
42%
+9.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
32%
+14.4pp
54%
BTTS No
68%
-14.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fath Casablanca EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Maghreb Fes EU Bookmakers 75%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+47% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
261 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Fath Casablanca vs Maghreb Fes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maghreb Fes nicked a narrow win over Fath Casablanca 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Maghreb Fes as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Fath Casablanca vs Maghreb Fes?

Fath Casablanca 0-1 Maghreb Fes in the Morocco - Cup on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fath Casablanca vs Maghreb Fes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maghreb Fes win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Fath Casablanca 20%, draw 20%, Maghreb Fes 60%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maghreb Fes), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maghreb Fes) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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