Hassania Agadir 2-0 USM Oujda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Cup, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
33%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.44
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
14%
4.9
6+ Goals
7%
28.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.44 — our 36% vs market 34.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
53%
-15.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
33%
Away Win
20%
+12.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.7pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hassania Agadir EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Oujda EU Bookmakers 23%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-24% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
404 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Hassania Agadir vs USM Oujda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hassania Agadir got the better of USM Oujda 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Hassania Agadir made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Hassania Agadir vs USM Oujda?

Hassania Agadir 2-0 USM Oujda in the Morocco - Cup on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hassania Agadir vs USM Oujda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hassania Agadir win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hassania Agadir 38%, draw 29%, USM Oujda 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hassania Agadir), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hassania Agadir) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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