Newcastle United U21 3-2 West Bromwich Albion U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.27
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.89
Over 2.5
64%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.35
No
44%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+4.0pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.7pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.3pp
36%
Under 2.5
31%
+4.8pp
64%
Over 2.5
69%
-4.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
70%
-14.0pp
44%
BTTS No
30%
+14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle United U21 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY West Bromwich Albion U21 EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle United U21
3-2
AWAY West Bromwich Albion U21
2.75 xG 1.70
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
453 Passes 315
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Newcastle United U21 vs West Bromwich Albion U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle United U21 nicked a narrow win over West Bromwich Albion U21 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Newcastle United U21 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Newcastle United U21 had 58% of the ball to West Bromwich Albion U21's 42%, shots finished 21-16, expected goals 2.75 to 1.70.

What was the final score of Newcastle United U21 vs West Bromwich Albion U21?

Newcastle United U21 3-2 West Bromwich Albion U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle United U21 vs West Bromwich Albion U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Newcastle United U21 44%, draw 21%, West Bromwich Albion U21 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle United U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Newcastle United U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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