West Ham United U21 vs Derby County U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities
West Ham United U21 v Derby County U21 — Team-Based Signals
West Ham United U21 3-2 Derby County U21 — Actual Match Statistics
West Ham United U21 came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Derby County U21 3-2. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had West Ham United U21 as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (79%), both teams to score (63%) came home.
Under the surface, West Ham United U21 had 61% of the ball to Derby County U21's 39%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.30 to 1.37.
West Ham United U21 vs Derby County U21 Result & Final Score
West Ham United U21 3 - 2 Derby County U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
West Ham United U21 vs Derby County U21 Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a West Ham United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split West Ham United U21 70%, draw 15%, Derby County U21 15%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (West Ham United U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.