West Ham United U21 vs Derby County U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
West Ham United U21 v Derby County U21 — Team-Based Signals
West Ham United U21 3-2 Derby County U21 — Actual Match Statistics
West Ham United U21 nicked a narrow win over Derby County U21 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had West Ham United U21 as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, West Ham United U21 had 61% of the ball to Derby County U21's 39%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.30 to 1.37.
What was the final score of West Ham United U21 vs Derby County U21?
West Ham United U21 3-2 Derby County U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for West Ham United U21 vs Derby County U21?
Before kick-off our model rated a West Ham United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split West Ham United U21 57%, draw 19%, Derby County U21 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (West Ham United U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.