Al Duhail SC 3-1 Al Sadd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
51%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.96
Over 2.5
65%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
7.19
2-3 Goals
38%
2.21
4-5 Goals
30%
2.44
6+ Goals
14%
4.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+3.7pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.5pp
51%
Away Win
55%
-4.3pp
35%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.0pp
65%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.4pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Duhail SC EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Sadd EU Bookmakers 60%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.59/2.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.52/1.24
+91% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
366 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
Crosses 9.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Duhail SC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Sadd
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.07 xG 1.65
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
404 Passes 344
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 3-1 HT 0-1 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KAT
04.05.2023 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 1-3 HT 0-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
06.04.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KATVPK
23.03.2023 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KATYK
12.03.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KAT
25.02.2022 Al Sadd Al Sadd 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Duhail SC
3-1
AWAY Al Sadd
2.01 xG 1.77
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
328 Passes 412
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Duhail SC vs Al Sadd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Duhail SC got the better of Al Sadd 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Sadd at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Al Duhail SC had 45% of the ball to Al Sadd's 55%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 2.01 to 1.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Duhail SC and 1.67 for Al Sadd.

What was the final score of Al Duhail SC vs Al Sadd?

Al Duhail SC 3-1 Al Sadd in the Qatar League on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Duhail SC vs Al Sadd?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Sadd win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Duhail SC 27%, draw 22%, Al Sadd 51%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Sadd) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Sadd) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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