Al Wakrah 2-4 Al Arabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.02
2-3 Goals
34%
1.96
4-5 Goals
29%
2.76
6+ Goals
15%
7.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.8pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.5pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.8pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wakrah EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +15%
0.68/2.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.40
-31% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
403 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 78%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
20.9 Crosses 13.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wakrah
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Al Arabi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.30 xG 1.13
49% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
212 Passes 360
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
08.10.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KATYK
29.04.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
12.01.2023 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
04.01.2022 Al Arabi Al Arabi 1-2 HT 0-2 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
12.09.2021 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
POST-MATCH Al Wakrah vs Al Arabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Arabi beat Al Wakrah 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Wakrah at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Arabi led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Wakrah and 1.50 for Al Arabi.

What was the final score of Al Wakrah vs Al Arabi?

Al Wakrah 2-4 Al Arabi in the Qatar League on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wakrah vs Al Arabi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wakrah win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Wakrah 42%, draw 29%, Al Arabi 29%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Wakrah) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Wakrah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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