Monarcas Morelia 0-2 Leones Negros Udeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.3pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monarcas Morelia EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.54/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/1.20
-55% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monarcas Morelia
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
6 Corners 2
19.11.2023 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 2-0 HT 2-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
16.11.2023 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 2-1 HT 2-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
02.09.2023 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 0-0 HT 0-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
24.03.2023 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 0-1 HT 0-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
14.10.2022 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 0-1 HT 0-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
27.03.2022 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 0-1 HT 0-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
POST-MATCH Monarcas Morelia vs Leones Negros Udeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones Negros Udeg saw off Monarcas Morelia 2-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Leones Negros Udeg as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Monarcas Morelia and 0.83 for Leones Negros Udeg.

What was the final score of Monarcas Morelia vs Leones Negros Udeg?

Monarcas Morelia 0-2 Leones Negros Udeg in the Mexico - Primera A on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monarcas Morelia vs Leones Negros Udeg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Monarcas Morelia 32%, draw 26%, Leones Negros Udeg 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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