Arka Gdynia 2-1 Chrobry Glogow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
27%
4.34
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.1
Over 2.5
44%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.95
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.13
6+ Goals
10%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.95 — our 27% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
67%
-11.4pp
27%
Draw
20%
+6.6pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+4.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+12.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-12.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arka Gdynia EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Chrobry Glogow EU Bookmakers 16%
-12% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +9%
1.88/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.71
+5% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +6%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
435 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arka Gdynia
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Chrobry Glogow
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 1-0 HT 1-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
21.04.2023 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 0-3 HT 0-3 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
16.09.2022 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 3-4 HT 2-1 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
26.05.2022 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 0-2 HT 0-1 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
27.11.2021 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 1-0 HT 0-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
07.08.2021 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 0-2 HT 0-2 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arka Gdynia
2-1
AWAY Chrobry Glogow
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arka Gdynia vs Chrobry Glogow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arka Gdynia edged past Chrobry Glogow 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arka Gdynia as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arka Gdynia had 54% of the ball to Chrobry Glogow's 46%, shots finished 14-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chrobry Glogow led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arka Gdynia and 1.67 for Chrobry Glogow.

What was the final score of Arka Gdynia vs Chrobry Glogow?

Arka Gdynia 2-1 Chrobry Glogow in the Poland - 1st Division on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arka Gdynia vs Chrobry Glogow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arka Gdynia win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Arka Gdynia 55%, draw 27%, Chrobry Glogow 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arka Gdynia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arka Gdynia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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