Gornik Leczna 2-0 Podbeskidzie Bielsko — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2024

Gornik Leczna
2-0 HT 2-0
Podbeskidzie Bielsko
📅05/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Poland - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Gornik Leczna vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.95
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.95
6+ Goals
11%
17.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 29% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
39%
+7.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.9pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gornik Leczna v Podbeskidzie Bielsko — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gornik Leczna EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Podbeskidzie Bielsko EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -21%
1.35/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.50
-6% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Gornik Leczna vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gornik Leczna
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Podbeskidzie Bielsko
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.09.2023 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko 1-1 HT 1-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
06.05.2023 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 3-3 HT 1-2 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko POL1
08.10.2022 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko 1-0 HT 1-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
10.05.2016 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 5-1 HT 2-0 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko POL
01.03.2016 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko 2-0 HT 0-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL
26.09.2015 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 1-2 HT 1-1 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko POL

Gornik Leczna 2-0 Podbeskidzie Bielsko — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gornik Leczna
2-0
AWAY Podbeskidzie Bielsko
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Gornik Leczna vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gornik Leczna saw off Podbeskidzie Bielsko 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gornik Leczna as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Gornik Leczna had 50% of the ball to Podbeskidzie Bielsko's 50%, shots finished 13-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Podbeskidzie Bielsko led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gornik Leczna and 1.67 for Podbeskidzie Bielsko.

What was the final score of Gornik Leczna vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko?

Gornik Leczna 2-0 Podbeskidzie Bielsko in the Poland - 1st Division on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gornik Leczna vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gornik Leczna win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gornik Leczna 46%, draw 25%, Podbeskidzie Bielsko 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gornik Leczna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gornik Leczna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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