Cracovia Krakow 2-2 Lodzki KS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.47
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.22
2-3 Goals
43%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
3.01
6+ Goals
13%
9.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.81
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
17.1
X/1
19%
3.7
X/2
5%
12.7
X/X
9%
6.29
2/1
7%
21.45
2/2
9%
9.69
2/X EV+ ✗
7%
17.75
Value flag · 2/X at 17.75 — our 7% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
64%
-7.9pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.6pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.3pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Lodzki KS EU Bookmakers 19%
-12% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -16%
1.83/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.63
-11% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 71%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
24.6 Crosses 16.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cracovia Krakow
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Lodzki KS
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.67 xG 0.78
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
218 Passes 442
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS 0-2 HT 0-2 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
23.09.2021 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS 0-0 HT 0-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POLK
01.12.2019 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS 1-0 HT 0-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
27.07.2019 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 1-2 HT 0-1 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS POL
09.03.2012 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS 2-2 HT 2-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cracovia Krakow
2-2
AWAY Lodzki KS
1.40 xG 1.68
40% Ball Possession 60%
20 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
217 Passes 363
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 21
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cracovia Krakow vs Lodzki KS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cracovia Krakow and Lodzki KS couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Cracovia Krakow at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Cracovia Krakow had 40% of the ball to Lodzki KS's 60%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 1.40 to 1.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lodzki KS led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cracovia Krakow and 1.00 for Lodzki KS.

What was the final score of Cracovia Krakow vs Lodzki KS?

Cracovia Krakow 2-2 Lodzki KS in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cracovia Krakow vs Lodzki KS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cracovia Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Cracovia Krakow 56%, draw 24%, Lodzki KS 20%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cracovia Krakow) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cracovia Krakow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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