Radomiak Radom 2-1 Rakow Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.71
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.32
6+ Goals
11%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.38
1/2
10%
28.0
1/X
8%
14.85
X/1
11%
6.73
X/2
11%
4.32
X/X
11%
4.28
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.91
2/X
9%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+1.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-1.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 49%
-17% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.33/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.93
-35% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -6%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
19.3 Crosses 17.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radomiak Radom
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.83 xG 1.29
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
260 Passes 272
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 3-0 HT 1-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
10.04.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-0 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
17.09.2022 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 3-0 HT 1-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
12.02.2022 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-1 HT 0-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
29.09.2021 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 2-2 HT 1-1 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
16.08.2015 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 3-2 HT 2-1 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radomiak Radom
2-1
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
1.19 xG 1.80
26% Ball Possession 74%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
108 Passes 477
55% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 23
7 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Radomiak Radom vs Rakow Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radomiak Radom edged past Rakow Czestochowa 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Rakow Czestochowa at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Radomiak Radom had 26% of the ball to Rakow Czestochowa's 74%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 1.19 to 1.80 — on chances, Rakow Czestochowa could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rakow Czestochowa led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Radomiak Radom and 2.00 for Rakow Czestochowa.

What was the final score of Radomiak Radom vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Radomiak Radom 2-1 Rakow Czestochowa in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radomiak Radom vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Radomiak Radom 29%, draw 28%, Rakow Czestochowa 43%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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