Aluminij 0-2 Maribor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.91
Draw
28%
4.62
Away
48%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.36
2-3 Goals
36%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.96
6+ Goals
12%
8.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
14%
+10.1pp
28%
Draw
18%
+9.7pp
48%
Away Win
68%
-19.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.5pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aluminij EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Maribor EU Bookmakers 72%
+14% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -18%
1.60/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.32
+80% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -15%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aluminij
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Maribor
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2024 Maribor Maribor 7-0 HT 4-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
01.10.2023 Aluminij Aluminij 1-0 HT 1-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
30.07.2023 Maribor Maribor 1-0 HT 0-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
14.05.2022 Maribor Maribor 3-1 HT 0-1 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
10.03.2022 Aluminij Aluminij 3-3 HT 1-2 Maribor Maribor SLVN
21.11.2021 Maribor Maribor 3-0 HT 1-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aluminij
0-2
AWAY Maribor
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aluminij vs Maribor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maribor got the better of Aluminij 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Maribor as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aluminij had 42% of the ball to Maribor's 58%, shots finished 6-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maribor led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Aluminij and 2.83 for Maribor.

What was the final score of Aluminij vs Maribor?

Aluminij 0-2 Maribor in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aluminij vs Maribor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Aluminij 24%, draw 28%, Maribor 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maribor) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maribor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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