Maribor 7-0 Aluminij — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.33
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
24%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.2
2-3 Goals
41%
1.96
4-5 Goals
22%
2.67
6+ Goals
12%
6.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
71%
-17.5pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.7pp
24%
Away Win
12%
+11.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maribor EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminij EU Bookmakers 15%
+1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
2.14/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.24
+17% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -16%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maribor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Aluminij
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Aluminij Aluminij 1-0 HT 1-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
30.07.2023 Maribor Maribor 1-0 HT 0-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
14.05.2022 Maribor Maribor 3-1 HT 0-1 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
10.03.2022 Aluminij Aluminij 3-3 HT 1-2 Maribor Maribor SLVN
21.11.2021 Maribor Maribor 3-0 HT 1-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
12.09.2021 Aluminij Aluminij 3-0 HT 1-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maribor
7-0
AWAY Aluminij
68% Ball Possession 32%
23 Total Shots 3
11 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maribor vs Aluminij
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maribor swept aside Aluminij 7-0. Half-time: 4-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Maribor as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 7-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Maribor had 68% of the ball to Aluminij's 32%, shots finished 23-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maribor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Maribor and 1.33 for Aluminij.

What was the final score of Maribor vs Aluminij?

Maribor 7-0 Aluminij in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maribor vs Aluminij?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Maribor 53%, draw 23%, Aluminij 24%. The final score 7-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maribor), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maribor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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