Celje vs Mura Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Celje v Mura — Team-Based Signals
Celje vs Mura Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Celje
SLVN
5-0
HT 2-0
Mura
SLVN
0-2
HT 0-1
Celje
SLVN
2-1
HT 1-0
Mura
SLVN
2-1
HT 1-0
Mura
SLVNK
3-1
HT 0-1
Celje
SLVN
Celje 4-1 Mura — Actual Match Statistics
Celje swept aside Mura 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Celje as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Celje had 67% of the ball to Mura's 33%, shots finished 24-9.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Celje and 0.83 for Mura.
What was the final score of Celje vs Mura?
Celje 4-1 Mura in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Celje vs Mura?
Before kick-off our model rated a Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Celje 54%, draw 25%, Mura 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celje) — a clean sweep of the main markets.