Gaddafi 1-2 Kampala City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 5 Apr 2024

Gaddafi
1-2 HT 1-2
Kampala City
📅05/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2023/2024

Gaddafi vs Kampala City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.87
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
40%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.82
Over 2.5
40%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
22%
+8.7pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.0pp
40%
Away Win
53%
-12.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
51%
+8.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
49%
-8.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.9pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gaddafi v Kampala City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaddafi EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Kampala City EU Bookmakers 57%
+60% / +60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.61
-2% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +70%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
228 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Gaddafi 1-2 Kampala City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaddafi
1-2
AWAY Kampala City
49% Ball Possession 51%
3 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gaddafi vs Kampala City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kampala City nicked a narrow win over Gaddafi 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Kampala City found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gaddafi had 49% of the ball to Kampala City's 51%, shots finished 3-10.

What was the final score of Gaddafi vs Kampala City?

Gaddafi 1-2 Kampala City in the Uganda - Premier League on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaddafi vs Kampala City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kampala City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gaddafi 31%, draw 29%, Kampala City 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kampala City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kampala City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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