Sigma Olomouc 1-2 Karvina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.51
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.18
6+ Goals
13%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.2pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sigma Olomouc EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvina EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.00/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.32
+13% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 71%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
24.3 Crosses 14.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sigma Olomouc
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Karvina
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
185 Passes 268
58% Pass Accuracy 68%
27 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Karvina Karvina 2-1 HT 0-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
25.11.2023 Karvina Karvina 0-2 HT 0-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
29.07.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 3-1 HT 2-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
13.03.2022 Karvina Karvina 1-2 HT 0-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
17.10.2021 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 2-0 HT 1-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
20.03.2021 Karvina Karvina 0-1 HT 0-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sigma Olomouc
1-2
AWAY Karvina
1.43 xG 0.59
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
266 Passes 191
70% Pass Accuracy 71%
29 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sigma Olomouc vs Karvina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karvina edged past Sigma Olomouc 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sigma Olomouc at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sigma Olomouc had 58% of the ball to Karvina's 42%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.43 to 0.59 — on chances, Sigma Olomouc could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sigma Olomouc had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sigma Olomouc and 0.67 for Karvina.

What was the final score of Sigma Olomouc vs Karvina?

Sigma Olomouc 1-2 Karvina in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sigma Olomouc vs Karvina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sigma Olomouc win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sigma Olomouc 44%, draw 27%, Karvina 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sigma Olomouc) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sigma Olomouc) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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