Banik Ostrava 1-1 Sparta Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.34
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.29
6+ Goals
12%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 28% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.7pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banik Ostrava EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -15%
1.50/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.67
+10% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
Crosses 10.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banik Ostrava
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Sparta Prag
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.11 xG 1.95
46% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 6
262 Passes 386
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 1-3 HT 1-2 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
14.05.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-1 HT 1-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
20.04.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 4-3 HT 1-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
12.11.2023 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 0-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
11.03.2023 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 0-3 HT 0-2 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
19.11.2022 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 2-3 HT 1-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banik Ostrava
1-1
AWAY Sparta Prag
1.54 xG 1.17
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 10
204 Passes 375
66% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 42
10 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Banik Ostrava vs Sparta Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banik Ostrava and Sparta Prag shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Banik Ostrava at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Banik Ostrava had 39% of the ball to Sparta Prag's 61%, shots finished 12-22, expected goals 1.54 to 1.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Banik Ostrava and 2.33 for Sparta Prag.

What was the final score of Banik Ostrava vs Sparta Prag?

Banik Ostrava 1-1 Sparta Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banik Ostrava vs Sparta Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Banik Ostrava win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Banik Ostrava 41%, draw 25%, Sparta Prag 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Banik Ostrava), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Banik Ostrava) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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