Sparta Prag 1-3 Banik Ostrava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.13
2-3 Goals
44%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
13%
9.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
8%
1/X
13%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.3pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.0pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Banik Ostrava EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +6%
2.36/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.31
+20% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
39.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
25.2 Crosses 20.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Prag
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Banik Ostrava
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.95 xG 1.11
55% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
326 Passes 261
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.05.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-1 HT 1-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
20.04.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 4-3 HT 1-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
12.11.2023 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 0-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
11.03.2023 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 0-3 HT 0-2 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
19.11.2022 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 2-3 HT 1-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEKK
17.09.2022 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 1-1 HT 1-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag
1-3
AWAY Banik Ostrava
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
565 Passes 263
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 33
18 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag vs Banik Ostrava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banik Ostrava got the better of Sparta Prag 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Sparta Prag at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sparta Prag had 65% of the ball to Banik Ostrava's 35%, shots finished 19-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sparta Prag and 1.17 for Banik Ostrava.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs Banik Ostrava?

Sparta Prag 1-3 Banik Ostrava in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs Banik Ostrava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 52%, draw 23%, Banik Ostrava 25%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sparta Prag) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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