Jablonec 3-0 Teplice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.24
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 28% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jablonec EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Teplice EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +13%
1.37/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.88
+10% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
21.7 Crosses 20.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jablonec
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Teplice
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.12.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 3-2 HT 2-1 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
06.08.2023 Teplice Teplice 0-0 HT 0-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
28.05.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 0-2 HT 0-1 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
26.02.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 4-1 HT 2-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
03.09.2022 Teplice Teplice 3-2 HT 1-2 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
07.05.2022 Teplice Teplice 0-1 HT 0-1 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jablonec
3-0
AWAY Teplice
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
299 Passes 312
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
11 Box Touches 20
9 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jablonec vs Teplice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jablonec cruised past Teplice 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Jablonec as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Jablonec had 48% of the ball to Teplice's 52%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jablonec had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Jablonec and 1.33 for Teplice.

What was the final score of Jablonec vs Teplice?

Jablonec 3-0 Teplice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jablonec vs Teplice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jablonec win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Jablonec 46%, draw 28%, Teplice 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jablonec), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jablonec) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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