Dukla Prag 0-1 Mlada Boleslav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.42
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.47
6+ Goals
11%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 27% vs market 23.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
33%
+1.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.0pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dukla Prag EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 45%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +19%
1.39/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.30
+7% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
225 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
Crosses 13.8
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dukla Prag
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
21.04.2019 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 2-2 HT 0-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
09.11.2018 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 0-0 HT 0-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
19.05.2018 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-0 HT 1-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
24.11.2017 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 4-1 HT 2-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
07.04.2017 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 1-2 HT 0-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
01.10.2016 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-0 HT 0-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dukla Prag
0-1
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
261 Passes 293
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
33 Box Touches 17
29 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dukla Prag vs Mlada Boleslav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mlada Boleslav edged past Dukla Prag 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Mlada Boleslav made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Dukla Prag had 49% of the ball to Mlada Boleslav's 51%, shots finished 15-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mlada Boleslav led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dukla Prag and 1.17 for Mlada Boleslav.

What was the final score of Dukla Prag vs Mlada Boleslav?

Dukla Prag 0-1 Mlada Boleslav in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dukla Prag vs Mlada Boleslav?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mlada Boleslav win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dukla Prag 35%, draw 27%, Mlada Boleslav 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mlada Boleslav), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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