Sparta Prag 4-3 Banik Ostrava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.95
4-5 Goals
23%
2.76
6+ Goals
12%
7.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
69%
-13.8pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.7pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+9.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Banik Ostrava EU Bookmakers 16%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -14%
2.52/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/2.41
+12% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 70%
34.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.1 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Prag
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Banik Ostrava
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.28 xG 2.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
209 Passes 329
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 42
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.11.2023 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 0-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
11.03.2023 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 0-3 HT 0-2 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
19.11.2022 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 2-3 HT 1-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEKK
17.09.2022 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 1-1 HT 1-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
02.04.2022 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-1 HT 2-1 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
31.10.2021 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 2-2 HT 0-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag
4-3
AWAY Banik Ostrava
2.84 xG 0.89
59% Ball Possession 41%
22 Total Shots 15
11 Shots on Target 7
14 Corners 4
386 Passes 236
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
35 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag vs Banik Ostrava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag nicked a narrow win over Banik Ostrava 4-3. Half-time: 1-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sparta Prag had 59% of the ball to Banik Ostrava's 41%, shots finished 22-15, expected goals 2.84 to 0.89 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sparta Prag's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sparta Prag and 1.00 for Banik Ostrava.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs Banik Ostrava?

Sparta Prag 4-3 Banik Ostrava in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs Banik Ostrava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 55%, draw 22%, Banik Ostrava 23%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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