Karvina 1-1 Bohemians 1905 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.66
No
56%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.45
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 35% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.9pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karvina EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bohemians 1905 EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.60/2.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.56
+30% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 77%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
23.0 Crosses 16.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karvina
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Bohemians 1905
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.11.2023 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 1-0 HT 0-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
14.05.2022 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 4-0 HT 2-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
03.04.2022 Karvina Karvina 1-1 HT 1-0 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
01.12.2021 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 3-0 HT 2-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
14.03.2021 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 2-0 HT 1-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
08.11.2020 Karvina Karvina 2-1 HT 1-0 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karvina
1-1
AWAY Bohemians 1905
2.27 xG 1.05
65% Ball Possession 35%
24 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
372 Passes 161
80% Pass Accuracy 64%
33 Box Touches 16
35 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Karvina vs Bohemians 1905
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karvina and Bohemians 1905 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Karvina had 65% of the ball to Bohemians 1905's 35%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 2.27 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bohemians 1905 led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Karvina and 2.00 for Bohemians 1905.

What was the final score of Karvina vs Bohemians 1905?

Karvina 1-1 Bohemians 1905 in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karvina vs Bohemians 1905?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karvina win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Karvina 39%, draw 25%, Bohemians 1905 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Karvina), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karvina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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