Sparta Prag 2-1 Banik Ostrava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 14 May 2024

📅14/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.32
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
3.17
Over 2.5
57%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
8.2
2-3 Goals
41%
2.33
4-5 Goals
26%
2.38
6+ Goals
12%
4.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
71%
-13.6pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.9pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
28%
+14.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
72%
-14.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.9pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Banik Ostrava EU Bookmakers 16%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
1.97/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/3.39
+13% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -21%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
431 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
34.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
19.7 Crosses 15.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Prag
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Banik Ostrava
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.06 xG 1.57
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
298 Passes 282
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 4-3 HT 1-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
12.11.2023 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 0-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
11.03.2023 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 0-3 HT 0-2 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
19.11.2022 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 2-3 HT 1-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEKK
17.09.2022 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 1-1 HT 1-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
02.04.2022 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-1 HT 2-1 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag
2-1
AWAY Banik Ostrava
1.72 xG 0.20
61% Ball Possession 39%
24 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 2
383 Passes 219
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 9
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag vs Banik Ostrava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag nicked a narrow win over Banik Ostrava 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Sparta Prag had 61% of the ball to Banik Ostrava's 39%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 1.72 to 0.20 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sparta Prag's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sparta Prag and 1.17 for Banik Ostrava.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs Banik Ostrava?

Sparta Prag 2-1 Banik Ostrava in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 14/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs Banik Ostrava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 58%, draw 22%, Banik Ostrava 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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ÇEK More Czech Republic - Czech Liga
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