Karlbergs BK 4-1 Örebro Syrianska — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
18%
3.54
Away
36%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.8pp
18%
Draw
25%
-6.6pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+9.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.9pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlbergs BK EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Örebro Syrianska EU Bookmakers 30%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +40%
1.50/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.31
-11% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
307 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karlbergs BK
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Örebro Syrianska
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.08.2024 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK 3-2 HT 0-1 Örebro Syrianska Örebro Syrianska İSÇ3
01.06.2024 Örebro Syrianska Örebro Syrianska 3-0 HT 1-0 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karlbergs BK
4-1
AWAY Örebro Syrianska
61% Ball Possession 39%
6 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Karlbergs BK vs Örebro Syrianska
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlbergs BK swept aside Örebro Syrianska 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Karlbergs BK as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Karlbergs BK had 61% of the ball to Örebro Syrianska's 39%, shots finished 6-2.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Karlbergs BK and 2.50 for Örebro Syrianska.

What was the final score of Karlbergs BK vs Örebro Syrianska?

Karlbergs BK 4-1 Örebro Syrianska in the Sweden - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlbergs BK vs Örebro Syrianska?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karlbergs BK win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Karlbergs BK 46%, draw 18%, Örebro Syrianska 36%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karlbergs BK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Karlbergs BK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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