AFC Malmö 0-0 Jönköpings Södra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
35%
3.35
Away
23%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.9pp
35%
Draw
26%
+8.6pp
23%
Away Win
28%
-4.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Malmö EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Jönköpings Södra EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
2.04/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.46
+28% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Malmö
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Jönköpings Södra
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 AFC Malmö 0-3 HT 0-2 Jönköpings Södra Jönköpings Södra İSÇ3
29.06.2024 Jönköpings Södra Jönköpings Södra 1-0 HT 0-0 AFC Malmö İSÇ3
POST-MATCH AFC Malmö vs Jönköpings Södra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Malmö and Jönköpings Södra fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Malmö at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Jönköpings Södra led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for AFC Malmö and 2.00 for Jönköpings Södra.

What was the final score of AFC Malmö vs Jönköpings Södra?

AFC Malmö 0-0 Jönköpings Södra in the Sweden - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Malmö vs Jönköpings Södra?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Malmö win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AFC Malmö 42%, draw 35%, Jönköpings Södra 23%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (AFC Malmö) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Malmö) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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