AFC Malmö 0-3 Jönköpings Södra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
29%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-13.0pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.0pp
30%
Away Win
18%
+12.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.0pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Malmö EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Jönköpings Södra EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
2.13/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.28
+0% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / +36%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
484 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Malmö
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Jönköpings Södra
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.06.2024 Jönköpings Södra Jönköpings Södra 1-0 HT 0-0 AFC Malmö İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Malmö
0-3
AWAY Jönköpings Södra
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AFC Malmö vs Jönköpings Södra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jönköpings Södra cruised past AFC Malmö 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Malmö at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AFC Malmö had 63% of the ball to Jönköpings Södra's 37%, shots finished 15-6.

What was the final score of AFC Malmö vs Jönköpings Södra?

AFC Malmö 0-3 Jönköpings Södra in the Sweden - 1st Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Malmö vs Jönköpings Södra?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Malmö win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split AFC Malmö 48%, draw 23%, Jönköpings Södra 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (AFC Malmö) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Malmö) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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