Bergdalens 1-5 Tvaaker — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
5.91
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
50%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.76
No
42%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
14%
+13.9pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.5pp
50%
Away Win
67%
-17.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-1.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+1.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.1pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bergdalens EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Tvaaker EU Bookmakers 71%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+5% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
230 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bergdalens
1-5
AWAY Tvaaker
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 13
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bergdalens vs Tvaaker
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tvaaker ran out comfortable winners over Bergdalens 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tvaaker as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Bergdalens had 39% of the ball to Tvaaker's 61%, shots finished 5-23.

What was the final score of Bergdalens vs Tvaaker?

Bergdalens 1-5 Tvaaker in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bergdalens vs Tvaaker?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tvaaker win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Bergdalens 28%, draw 23%, Tvaaker 50%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tvaaker), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tvaaker) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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