FBK Karlstad 2-3 Herrestads — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.49
Draw
31%
4.34
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
12%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
63%
-18.5pp
31%
Draw
20%
+11.7pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.1pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FBK Karlstad EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Herrestads EU Bookmakers 21%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.86/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.78
+25% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
458 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FBK Karlstad
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Herrestads
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
06.08.2023 FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad 3-2 HT 1-1 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
01.04.2023 Herrestads Herrestads 4-1 HT 2-1 FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad İSÇ4
POST-MATCH FBK Karlstad vs Herrestads
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Herrestads edged past FBK Karlstad 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FBK Karlstad at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FBK Karlstad and 3.00 for Herrestads.

What was the final score of FBK Karlstad vs Herrestads?

FBK Karlstad 2-3 Herrestads in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FBK Karlstad vs Herrestads?

Before kick-off our model rated a FBK Karlstad win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FBK Karlstad 44%, draw 31%, Herrestads 24%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FBK Karlstad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FBK Karlstad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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