Baden 1-5 Luzern II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 5 Apr 2025

Baden
1-5
Luzern II
📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme – 2024/2025

Baden vs Luzern II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
31%
+6.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
36%
Away Win
42%
-5.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Baden v Luzern II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baden EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Luzern II EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -12%
1.70/2.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/2.24
+2% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
341 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3

Baden vs Luzern II Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baden
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Luzern II
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.03.2023 Baden Baden 4-3 HT 2-1 Luzern II Luzern II İSV1Y
28.08.2022 Luzern II Luzern II 2-1 HT 1-1 Baden Baden İSV1Y
POST-MATCH Baden vs Luzern II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luzern II cruised past Baden 5-1 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Luzern II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Baden and 2.50 for Luzern II.

What was the final score of Baden vs Luzern II?

Baden 1-5 Luzern II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baden vs Luzern II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baden win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Baden 37%, draw 27%, Luzern II 36%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Baden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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