Lugano II 3-0 Grand-Saconnex — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
49%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
49%
Away Win
45%
+4.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.3pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugano II EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Grand-Saconnex EU Bookmakers 49%
-1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.28/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-25% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +57%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugano II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Grand-Saconnex
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Grand-Saconnex Grand-Saconnex 1-1 Lugano II Lugano II İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugano II
3-0
AWAY Grand-Saconnex
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lugano II vs Grand-Saconnex
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugano II swept aside Grand-Saconnex 3-0.

Our pre-match lean was Grand-Saconnex at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Lugano II had 41% of the ball to Grand-Saconnex's 59%, shots finished 12-6.

What was the final score of Lugano II vs Grand-Saconnex?

Lugano II 3-0 Grand-Saconnex in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugano II vs Grand-Saconnex?

Before kick-off our model rated an Grand-Saconnex win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Lugano II 29%, draw 22%, Grand-Saconnex 49%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Grand-Saconnex), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grand-Saconnex) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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