Magallanes 1-3 Universidad Chile — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
36%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
45%
-8.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+8.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.5pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Magallanes EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 31%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -47% / -47%
1.70/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.90
-26% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -66%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 76%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
24.5 Crosses 13.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Magallanes
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Universidad Chile
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.48 xG 1.90
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
194 Passes 219
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.02.2025 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 0-1 HT 0-0 Magallanes Magallanes ŞİLİK
30.07.2023 Magallanes Magallanes 2-1 HT 1-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
11.02.2023 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 2-1 HT 1-0 Magallanes Magallanes ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Magallanes
1-3
AWAY Universidad Chile
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 10
1 Passes 2
POST-MATCH Magallanes vs Universidad Chile
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universidad Chile got the better of Magallanes 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Universidad Chile made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Magallanes had 43% of the ball to Universidad Chile's 57%, shots finished 7-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Magallanes had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Magallanes and 1.00 for Universidad Chile.

What was the final score of Magallanes vs Universidad Chile?

Magallanes 1-3 Universidad Chile in the Chile - Cup on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Magallanes vs Universidad Chile?

Before kick-off our model rated a Magallanes win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Magallanes 36%, draw 28%, Universidad Chile 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞİLİK More Chile - Cup
5 Apr 2025
02:00 CD Everton vs Union La Calera Analysis →
22:00 CSD Rangers vs Huachipato Analysis →
22:30 O Higgins vs Deportes Temuco Analysis →
23:00 Curico Unido vs Santa Cruz Analysis →