Real Salt Lake 2-0 Los Angeles Galaxy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.51
2-3 Goals
38%
1.89
4-5 Goals
30%
2.75
6+ Goals
11%
7.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.08
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
16%
4.5
X/2
7%
10.45
X/X
8%
6.07
2/1
8%
20.6
2/2
12%
7.61
2/X
9%
15.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 35.0 — our 9% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.2pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.1pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Salt Lake EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
1.69/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.80
+9% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
402 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 80%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
18.2 Crosses 14.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Salt Lake
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.82 xG 1.95
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
378 Passes 432
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
27 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.06.2024 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 0-1 HT 0-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
12.05.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 2-2 HT 0-2 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
15.10.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 2-2 HT 2-1 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
08.06.2023 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 3-2 HT 2-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABDK
01.06.2023 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 2-3 HT 0-1 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
02.10.2022 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Salt Lake
2-0
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy
1.45 xG 0.29
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 1
456 Passes 432
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles Galaxy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Salt Lake saw off Los Angeles Galaxy 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Salt Lake as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Salt Lake had 51% of the ball to Los Angeles Galaxy's 49%, shots finished 6-7, expected goals 1.45 to 0.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles Galaxy led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Real Salt Lake and 1.83 for Los Angeles Galaxy.

What was the final score of Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Real Salt Lake 2-0 Los Angeles Galaxy in the USA - Major League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Salt Lake win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Real Salt Lake 49%, draw 23%, Los Angeles Galaxy 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Salt Lake) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Salt Lake) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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