Los Angeles Galaxy 2-2 Real Salt Lake — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.38
No
39%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.84
2-3 Goals
36%
2.17
4-5 Goals
31%
2.48
6+ Goals
15%
4.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.44
1/2
9%
29.5
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
10%
4.92
X/2
7%
7.98
X/X
8%
6.58
2/1
7%
19.65
2/2
19%
4.71
2/X
9%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.2pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+6.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.9pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Salt Lake EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
1.85/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.78
+9% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
19.9 Crosses 18.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Real Salt Lake
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.79 xG 1.68
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
448 Passes 314
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.10.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 2-2 HT 2-1 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
08.06.2023 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 3-2 HT 2-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABDK
01.06.2023 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 2-3 HT 0-1 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
02.10.2022 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
30.04.2022 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 1-0 HT 0-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
30.09.2021 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 2-1 HT 1-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy
2-2
AWAY Real Salt Lake
2.94 xG 1.39
56% Ball Possession 44%
23 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 3
488 Passes 387
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
42 Box Touches 24
28 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Los Angeles Galaxy vs Real Salt Lake
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles Galaxy and Real Salt Lake couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Los Angeles Galaxy at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Los Angeles Galaxy had 56% of the ball to Real Salt Lake's 44%, shots finished 23-12, expected goals 2.94 to 1.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Salt Lake led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Los Angeles Galaxy and 1.83 for Real Salt Lake.

What was the final score of Los Angeles Galaxy vs Real Salt Lake?

Los Angeles Galaxy 2-2 Real Salt Lake in the USA - Major League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Real Salt Lake?

Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles Galaxy 43%, draw 23%, Real Salt Lake 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Los Angeles Galaxy) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Los Angeles Galaxy) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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